IFL Week 4 Picks
- offthewallfbpod
- Apr 11
- 5 min read
Week 4 is upon us! We took it right on the chin last week with some bonafide loser picks but we did have a couple of sharp Over winners.
Let's see the damage.
IFL Week 3 Review
Tulsa ML - Loser
Fishers wins outright, 40-29
Quad City-Iowa O81.5 - Winner
Combined for 90 points
Arizona-Green Bay O81.5 - Winner
Combined for 98 points
Vegas -2.5 - Loser
Sharks win outright, 36-19
San Diego +2.5 - Loser
Bay Area loses outright, 41-18
There's some solace in your losing picks just being total losers from the beginning of the game. There's no sweat involved. There's no toying with your emotions, just accepting that your pick is a loser in the 2nd quarter is liberating.
But that's not why we make picks. We make picks to bankrupt the sportsbooks and show off that we know ball.
Set before us is our tallest test of the season -- a FULL 7 GAME SLATE. That's right folks, for the first time this season every single IFL team is in action.
Buckle your chinstrap, apply the ankle tape, pass the smelling salts -- WE NEED TO BE READY FOR WAR.
LET'S FIND SOME WINNERS!
2025 IFL Record: 9-5
Tulsa Oilers vs Green Bay Blizzard (Friday 4/11 @ 6:05PM CT)
The Play: Tulsa +3.5
TJ Edwards has played 2 games against the Green Bay Blizzard in his career, once in 2022 & once in 2023. In those 2 games:
Accounted for 11 total TDs
Averaged 9.7 yards per completion through the air
Averaged 6.8 yards per carry on the ground
This Tulsa offense is a sleeping giant that is bound to wake up with a big game soon, and the Green Bay defense has proven to be malleable -- especially late in games.
If you're giving me TJ Edwards plus points, I have to take it.
Am I using the same logic in this game that ultimately led to a losing pick last week? Yep, sure am! But TJ is gonna have to burn me twice in order to give me pause here.
Prediction: 48-40 Tulsa
San Diego Strike Force vs Vegas Knight Hawks (Friday 4/11 @ 9:05PM CT)
The Play: Over 84.5
These are two offenses that are in a slump and really need a big game to get them back on track. I'd expect both teams to come out SWINGING and get some big points on the board quickly.
They played in Week 2 and combined for 89 points behind a big come-from-behind win by Vegas -- with each game from last season also being total shootouts.
Plus, this being a late night Friday game makes it a FAVORABLE opportunity for some #IFLAfterDark shenanigans and points a plenty -- so let's have some fun with it.
Prediction: 55-51 Vegas
Fishers Freight vs Massachusetts Pirates (Saturday 4/12 @ 6:05PM CT)
The Play: Massachusetts +5.5
I hate this pick, I really do. Massachusetts has looked bad this season and Fishers has looked great so far, with a big win over Tulsa in their first ever game at home last week.
But for the same reasons I hate, I also LOVE it.
Stock is high on Fishers and low on Massachusetts right now. The Pirates defense has been strong considering the spots they have been put in, and they were a good kicker away from stealing that game vs Quad City (they have since signed veteran K Josh Gable to the squad).
QB Kenji Bahar HAS to show in this one, otherwise I think we'll see Felix Harper make his debut sooner rather than later for the Pirates. The WR room is too talents for the offense to be performing the way it has.
This should be a close one and I think the Pirates pull off the upset here.
Prediction: 45-40 Massachusetts
Iowa Barnstormers vs Quad City Steamwheelers (Saturday 4/12 @ 7:05PM CT)
The Play: Over 85.5
We get an immediate rematch from last week between these two teams, this time taking place in Moline, IL. There's two major variables to take into consideration here:
It's Union Night in Quad City
It's also $1 Beer Night at the MARK
The Steamwheelers also announced that they opened up additional seating for the game, so that place is gonna be rocking and points are gonna be SPILLING over like the foam one a beer poured by first time bartender.
If they can hit the over with a 21-minute scoring drought last week, the Over is within their reach yet again. The spread scares me given their history last year in close games, but let's have a good time with this one.
The beers will be flowing in Moline!
Prediction: 50-44 Quad City
San Antonio Gunslingers vs Arizona Rattlers (Saturday 4/12 @ 8:05PM CT)
The Play: Under 85.5
There are few things I hate more than taking Unders in the IFL, but this San Antonio defense is something else. They suffocated a talented Bay Area team and held them to 21 points in an entire game and kept Tulsa in check in their season opener.
At the same time, the San Antonio offense hasn't been very impressive, but doing enough to stay in the game against Tulsa and just enough to win it in San Jose. DB Ravarius Rivers & LB Jordan Jones have been big time playmakers for that Gunslingers defense and I'd expect to see more of the same this week.
The Rattlers are coming off 2 back to back 50+ point games, but they have also been self sabotaging on offense at times this season with boneheaded penalties. I think Arizona still wins this one, but much lower scoring than you may think.
Prediction: 40-33 Arizona
Jacksonville Sharks vs Tucson Sugar Skulls (Saturday 4/12 @ 8:05PM CT)
The Play: Jacksonville -8.5
It did not matter what this number was, I would be taking Jacksonville.
The Sharks' defense has looked outstanding this year and the offense is coming along nicely with some of the best weapons in the league.
Tucson has had 2 byes in their first 3 weeks of the season, and DAYS before they are set to face off against the Jacksonville Sharks they trade their backup QB, cut their starting QB, then sign a new QB to presumably make the start this week.
Uhhhhhhhhh uh oh, Tucson. The Sugar Skulls had a staggering 8 different starting QBs in 2024 and so far are on pace to exceed that this season.
If the choice is IFL championship contender vs a struggling offense facing a QB signed 2 days ago, I am going with the championship contender -- regardless of the points.
Prediction: 49-30 Jacksonville
Northern Arizona Wranglers vs Bay Area Panthers (Sunday 4/12 @ 7:05PM CT)
The Play: Under 81.5
Ugh, they are making me taking not one but TWO Unders this week. Gross.
This Bay Area defense has been playing extremely well to start the season and held a very talented San Diego team to 18 points last week. This Northern Arizona squad is very young and figuring things out and really struggled against Fishers in their opener.
But on the defensive side, Northern Arizona held that Fishers offense to 26 points. This is another one that should be a slugfest, but I expect Panthers to get the better of the Wranglers in the first Josh Jones/Les Moss/Rod Windsor/RZ McCorker/Tosin Oyekanmi/Axel Perez revenge game against their former team.
Prediction: 39-32 Bay Area
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